Grid expansion
Transkript
Grid expansion
The Future of the Transmission Grid in Central Europe 1. Grid development in Central Europe 2. Market Development in Central Europe 3. Problems and Solutions Gert Schwarzbach, 50Hertz Transmission GmbH Energy Conference, 15 October 2013, Prague 1. Europe-wide and national TYNDP EU-TYNDP - reflect EC Energy Policy support decision making support PCI selection biennial (2012, 2014) non-binding National TYNDPs Regulatory Authorities check on compatibility - reflect national Energy Policy - annual (2012, 2013, 2014) - binding - Actual and prognosed supply needs - Efficient measures for guaranteeing adequacy of the net and security of supply - Identification of transmission system infrastructure to be built - Based on reasonable assumptions for development of generation, consumption and power exchange - Prognosis of power generation in 5-15 years ( 2025) - Modelling of integrated network - Development of scenarios - Evaluation of validity - Based on needs of grid users - Identification of investment gaps - Analysis of constraints for cross-border capacities 6 Regional investment plans 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 2 1. Projects of Common Interest (Extract) 50Hertz area Czech Republic Interconnection between Eisenhűttenstadt (DE) and Plewiska (PL) Internal line between Vernerov and Vitkov (CZ) Interconnection between Vierraden (DE) and Krajnik (PL) Internal line between Prestice and Kocin (CZ) Includes coordinated installation and operation of phase shifting transformers on the interconnection lines between Krajnik (PL) – Vierraden (DE) and Mikulowa (PL) – Hagenwerder (DE) Internal line between Vitkov and Prestice (CZ) Internal line between Kocin and Mirovka (CZ) Internal line between Mirovka and Cebin (CZ) Internal DC line (DE) between Lauchstädt and Meitingen Internal AC line (DE) between Halle/Saale and Schweinfurt Interconnection between Ishőj/Bjæverskov (DK) and Bentwisch/Gűstrow (DE) via offshore wind farms Kriegers Flak (DK) and Baltic 1/2 (DE) 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 3 1. German Grid Development Plan 2013 (Lead scenario B 2023) Optimisation of existing lines – Construction of new AC lines on existing routes: 3,400 km – AC reinforcements and AC retrofitting – on existing routes: 1,000 km – Conversion to DC circuit: 300 km +2 GW New measures in the NDP 2013 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague Grid expansion on new routes – Construction of new routes: 1,700 km – 4 DC corridors - transmission capacity: 12 GW - Route length: 2,100 km Estimated investment: € 21 billion 4 1. 50Hertz grid expansion projects 10 11 Northern line Krümmel – Görries 2 9 8 Uckermark line Neuenhagen – Bertikow 3 380 kV overhead line "Nordring Berlin" 4 South-West Interconnector (partially under construction) 5 Placement of new conductors on the Remptendorf line 1 2 3 6 6 3rd interconnector to Poland 7 Bärwalde-Schmölln line 8 Offshore connections in the Baltic Sea 9 Construction of Baltic 2 offshore connection 10 Kriegers Flak Combined Grid Solution 7 4 5 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague ‒ Accelerated grid expansion in 2012 thanks to political backing ‒ Plan approval decision for second section of South-West Interconnector ‒ Agreement on Kriegers Flak Combined Grid Solution signed 5 1. Speeding up grid expansion fixed in German law Enacting of 2 laws to facilitate the approval processes for grid expansion projects: EnLAG (2009) NABEG (2012) 24 grid expansion projects with high priority are regulated by law 4 pilot areas for underground cabeling Speeding up the expansion of cross-border high-voltage transmission lines and connection lines for offshore substations Nation-wide cost sharing mechanism Regulates development of projects of outstanding public interest Based on EU guidelines for Trans-European Networks Based on selected corridors Not valid for EnLAG-projects National requirements plan attached §§43ff. EnWG §§72ff. VwVfG 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 6 2. Market developments in Europe Implementation of the implicit market coupling of NorthWest-Europe (NWE) in 2013 2010 Establishment of the methodical and operative basics for the single European Price Coupling (EPC) Development of joint solutions for Central-East-Europe (CEE) 2014 Marketing of the 50Hertz interconnectors in NWE by and in CEE by 50Hertz is in the centre of the merging of the European electricity market. Long-term goal is the establishment of a single European power market. 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 7 2. Facilitation of cross-border power trading Regional initiatives with German participation NE CEE CWE NE = Northern Europe: Germany, Norway, Sweden, Denmark, Poland and Finland CEE = Central Eastern Europe: Germany, Austria, Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland, Slovakia and Slovenia CWE = Central Western Europe: Germany, France, Belgium, Netherlands and Luxemburg Tasks of regional initiatives Co-ordinated congestion management in market areas. Start with NWE (CWE+NE), later connection of other regions (SWE, CEE, …). Establishment of service providers like auction offices for congestion management (CAO, CASC, EMCC) and TSOs security initiatives (TSC, Coreso) in the respective regions. Development and implementation of flow-based capacity calculation mechanisms. For CWE ongoing tests, start after NWE market coupling go-live. For CEE under development. Development and implementation of a European solution for implicit capacity allocation. Price Coupling of Regions (PCR) is the chosen capacity allocation mechanism. PCR is to be provided by co-ordinated action of PXs. Algorithm is in test phase. Facilitation of cross-border power trading in the meshed grid of Central Europe leads to complex procedures and increased transit flows in 50Hertz control area. 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 8 2. Update from CEE-Region Goals: Implementation of Flow-Based Market Coupling in the CEE region compatible with the CWE Flow-Based approach and NWE Price Coupling and being of benefit for each country involved. Elaboration of adjusted FB technical solution for CEE region based on today’s bidding zones considering the influence arising from unplanned flows Present activities: CEE TSOs decided to develop a modified flow-based method addressing current challenges in the region. Two different options for adjusted FB method are under investigation: Security oriented option (SOO) and Financial Compensation oriented option (FCOO). NRAs have prepared a draft MoU between NRAs, PXs, TSOs of the region based on their Joint Declaration and discussed the draft with TSOs and PXs. MoU is about to be signed. CEE TSOs have liaised with PCR in order to perform an assessment of the PXs algorithm. Confidentiality issues have not been solved yet and seem to be overestimated by PXs. CEE TSOs have updated the High Level roadmap for implementation of FB MC. The overall timeframe for the implementation of the FB MC in CEE region will be at a level of around 27 month starting with the signature of the MoU. In parallel, and without influence on the implementation of FB MC in CEE, an explicit trilateral market coupling between CZ, SK and HU is to be enlarged by RO. PL rejected to join. Auction Rules for 2014 will be published soon. Activities have been started in order to harmonize auction rules in whole Europe. 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 9 3. The grid load increases dramatically due to the changes in the power generation sector 2012 2009 ____ Load ≤ 50% ____ 50% < Load < 70% ____ Load ≥ 70% 2010 2011 2012 1. half 2013 Days with interventions in the grid to ensure system security 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 160 213 262 103 10 3. Unplanned power flows resulting from changes of generation (renewable, nuclear) Proposals by 50Hertz from May 2012 to deal with unplanned flows Redispatch ("virtual PST") reduces SoS-relevant flows ensuring efficiency and cost effectiveness = challenge short-term Phase shifters (physical PST) Grid expansion reduces SoS-relevant flows ensures SoS in entire system investment required enables integrated European market middle-term long-term 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 11 3. Virtual PST – Principle and 1st Activation Trigger Power Flow Limit vPST Measure Power Flow First activation on DE-PL border on January 27th 2013 3,420 GWh / up to 400 MW redispatch from PL generators Close operational cooperation 50Hertz-PSE During a pilot phase 01-04/2013 vPST was activated 13 times including generators from PL, DE, CZ and AT. Charge by unplanned power flows Discharge by virtual PST measures Change of power plant output 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 3. Conclusions from the vPST pilot phase [Based on agreed Executive Summary and out of common presentations of 50Hertz and PSE to CEE Electricity Forum on 18th June 2013 and ACER Electricity Stakeholders Advisory Group on 4th July 2013] vPST Pilot Phase was an enriching experience and a helpful tool to deal with unplanned flows. At the same time the pilot identified important limitations of an approach based only on curative redispatching measures. Limitation of available redispatch capacity occurred on 25th March, resulting in long-lasting N-1 violations in 50Hertz and PSE control areas. In the view of 50Hertz the experience of the Pilot Phase confirms the requirement of installing Phase Shifting Transformers at the German-Polish border. PSE shares this opinion. Operational Phase of vPST to be implemented before pPST devices are installed. Redispatch measures could complement pPSTs when their technical abilities are exhausted. Room for improvement in the operational procedures for planning and activation of vPST measures was identified. Need of integration of the vPST procedures into a wider co-operation, i.e. into European TSO Security Cooperation (TSC) processes (DACF and IDCF). 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 13 3. PST Agreements with PSE, Status with ČEPS PST Agreements with PSE: 18th December 2012: Signature by PSE and 50Hertz of Agreement on virtual Phase Shift Transformer (vPST) LoI on (physical) Phase Shift Transformers (PST) VIE-KRA ca. 600 MW (220kV) vPST pilot phase from 08.01.-30.04.2013: 13 activations took place (total cost of approx. 3 m€). A report is close to finalization and will be published. Negotiations on a PST Agreement in order to replace LoI on PST and to start with vPST operational phase is close to finalization.. Co-operation with PSE receives positive feedback (mentioned as ‘Blueprint’ at the Florence Forum). Agreement was reached to apply for PCI-status of PSTs on DE-PL border. Status with ČEPS: Despite several attempts no agreement could be reached so far. 50Hertz is open for similar agreements as with PSE. Several CZ-DE Ministerial Meetings and TSO HLM took place. So far, little convergence. By letter sent 6 September 50Hertz proposed to ČEPS to integrate solutions for PST installation in order to reach a joint implementation and operation of PSTs. 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague HGW-MIK ca. 1,500 MW (380kV) ROE-HRA ca. 1,700 MW (380kV) 14 Summary The future transmision grid in Central Europe is under development (TYNDP, PCI). It will provide a sound basis for further market development characterised by Flow-Based Market Coupling. Grid development in Germany has been accelerated in order to follow changes in power generation (renewables, nuclear). Unplanned flows cannot be avoided in grids with fluctuating parameters. Power generation has a strong influence on such flows having burdening or relieving character for transmission lines. 50Hertz clearly aimes to actively limit power flows endangering secure system operation by co-ordinated transparent action. Initiatives of 50Hertz have reached different status with PSE and ČEPS. The concept of a „virtual phase shifting transformer“ can bridge the time until installation of physical PST. Installation and operation of PST should be co-ordinated as well as the further development of the European transmission grid. 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 15 Many thanks for your attention. Gert Schwarzbach Head of Interconnectors 50Hertz Transmission GmbH Eichenstraße 3A 12435 Berlin, Germany Phone: +49 (0) 30 5150 2703 eMail: [email protected] www.50hertz.com 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 16 Backup 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 17 50Hertz Transmission – a Fully Unbundled TSO Energinet.dk 60 % 40 % TenneT TenneT Eurogrid GmbH PL Amprion L CZ F Transnet BW CH A 50Hertz with two shareholders and as member of the European Elia Group 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 18 The main challenges of the new energy era for the electric system Production of renewable energy • Gradual integration of renewable energy Grid expansion • Preparation of the national grid development plan • Offshore wind expansion • Rapid grid expansion • Liquidity buffer in the EEG • Accelerating, simplifying apportionment • Energy efficiency measures • Question of the socially acceptable increase in costs and harmonising approval procedures • Increasing acceptance through information, dialogue and compensation 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague System security • Short-term stabilisation of the system, e.g. in the Hamburg area • Participation of all stakeholders to maintain the system security • Improving real-time data exchange and operation of EEG plants • Storage development 19 Ten-Year Network Development Plan 2012 The 1st TYNDP 2012 was published on 5 July 2012. The 2nd TYNDP 2014 is expected to be released for stakeholders’ consultation in March 2014. The final version should be published end of June/ beginning of July 2014. Key findings of TYNDP 2012: Permitting: 1 of 3 planned projects is delayed in implementation due to long permitting processes. Proposals to deal with the delays: fast-tracking of transmission infrastructure projects, “one-stop-shop”, defined time lines for permit granting procedures RES: The TYNDP 2012 identifies the need to invest €104 bn in the refurbishment or construction of roughly 52 300 km of extra high voltage power lines clustered into 100 investment projects across Europe. 80% of the identified 100 bottlenecks are related to the direct or indirect integration of renewable energy sources (RES) such as wind and solar power. Market Integration: The commissioning of projects of pan-European significance could result in CO2 savings of 170 MtCO2, of which 150 MtCO2 result from the connection of renewable generation technology and 20 MtCO2 which stem from savings due to further market integration. Grid Extension: Extending the grid by only 1.3% a year enables adding 3% generation capacity and the reliable integration of 125 GW of renewable energy sources. For less than 2€ per MWh of end-users’ electricity bills over the decade, the in the TYNDP 2012 proposed investments allow achieving the EU energy and climate goals in the most efficient and secure way. 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 20 TYNDP – Next steps Release of the TYNDP 2014 The next target for the TYNDP WG and the regional groups is the release of the next Ten-Year Network Development Plan in June 2014. The 2014 release will include six Regional Investment Plans and a System Outlook and Adequacy Forecast (SOAF) alongside the Europe-wide development plan, which formed the core of the first TYNDP. As the level of detail and sophistication of the TYNDP increases, ENTSO-E hopes and expects that it will increasingly be seen as the key tool for aiding decision making regarding electricity transmission investments. Improvements in the TYNDP 2014 are: Tackling a longer time horizon by incorporating 2030 visions New procedure on inclusion of the third party projects in the 2014 version of the TYNDP Intermediate update of the TYNDP 2012 table of projects Creation of the Long-Term Development Stakeholder Group Cost and Benefit Analysis (CBA) methodology 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 21 The path of lowest resistance Power flow types Loop and transit flows result from power exchange between generators and consumers internal flow loop flow Unplanned power flows are the difference between traded and physical power flows import/export transit flow Unplanned power flows can charge or discharge lines within the entire grid Vgl. Homann (BNetzA), 2. HLRC 31.10.2012, EC Brüssel 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague 22 Power flows between Germany and Poland MW 2500 PhysicalDE-PL flow DE-PL Physik Day-Ahead schedule DE-PL Day-Ahead Fahrplan DE-PL 2000 DEPL 1500 1000 500 0 PLDE -500 -1000 IV 2011 2013-10-15 | Gert Schwarzbach. 50Hertz, Energy Conference Prague I II III IV 2012 23